Como vs Manchester United

Wed 21 Oct, 16:45

AI Prediction

LOW 44%

Como

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 3.85 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Como last 3 at home: 2W-1D-0L (scored 6, conceded 2)

5 Manchester United last 5 away: 0W-3D-2L (scored 4, conceded 8)

6 Como without: J. Addai, M. Caqueret (+16 more)

7 Manchester United without: P. Dorgu, T. Heaton (+18 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Como with an estimated 44% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (3.85-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Como have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 at home (scoring 6, conceding 2), while Manchester United have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 8). Como without: J. Addai, M. Caqueret (+16 more); Manchester United without: P. Dorgu, T. Heaton (+18 more).