Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV

Sun 1 Nov, 16:30

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 59%

Eintracht Frankfurt

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.90 - 0.85

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Eintracht Frankfurt last 4 at home: 2W-1D-1L (scored 8, conceded 6)

5 Hamburger SV last 5 away: 2W-0D-3L (scored 6, conceded 10)

6 H2H (10): Eintracht Frankfurt lead 5-1 (4D), avg 2.1 goals, BTTS 50%

7 Eintracht Frankfurt without: J. Ngankam, J. Ngankam

8 Hamburger SV without: N. Capaldo, B. Nadir (+12 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Eintracht Frankfurt with an estimated 59% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.90-0.85 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Eintracht Frankfurt lead the head-to-head 5-1 (with 4 draws), averaging 2.1 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 8, conceding 6), while Hamburger SV have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 10). Eintracht Frankfurt without: J. Ngankam, J. Ngankam; Hamburger SV without: N. Capaldo, B. Nadir (+12 more).