Como vs Venezia

Sun 1 Nov, 11:30

AI Prediction

HIGH 70%

Como

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.88 - 0.16

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Como last 5 at home: 4W-1D-0L (scored 12, conceded 3)

5 Venezia last 5 away: 0W-0D-5L (scored 4, conceded 11)

6 H2H (6): even, 2D, avg 3.0 goals, BTTS 67%

7 Como without: A. Diao, M. Kean (+8 more)

8 Venezia without: A. Adorante, B. Franjic (+10 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Como with an estimated 70% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.88-0.16 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Como have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 12, conceding 3), while Venezia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 11). The head-to-head is even (2 win each, 2 draws in their last 6), averaging 3.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 67% of meetings. Como without: A. Diao, M. Kean (+8 more); Venezia without: A. Adorante, B. Franjic (+10 more).