Lyon vs Angers

Sun 1 Nov, 16:15

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 69%

Lyon

Predicted Winner

3-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 3.30 - 0.66

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Lyon last 5 at home: 4W-1D-0L (scored 13, conceded 5)

5 Angers last 3 away: 1W-1D-1L (scored 4, conceded 6)

6 H2H (10): Lyon lead 8-1 (1D), avg 2.7 goals, BTTS 20%

7 Lyon without: S. Kango, T. Morton (+8 more)

8 Angers without: A. El Ouazzani, A. El Ouazzani

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Lyon with an estimated 69% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (3.30-0.66 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Lyon lead the head-to-head 8-1 (with 1 draw), averaging 2.7 goals per game with both teams scoring in 20% of meetings. Lyon have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 13, conceding 5), while Angers have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 6). Lyon without: S. Kango, T. Morton (+8 more); Angers without: A. El Ouazzani, A. El Ouazzani.