Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln

Fri 16 Oct, 18:30

FT 1-0

AI Prediction

LOW 43%

Eintracht Frankfurt

Predicted Winner

3-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-0

Predicted: 3-2. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 2.36 - 1.57

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Eintracht Frankfurt last 4 at home: 2W-1D-1L (scored 9, conceded 6)

6 1. FC Köln last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 14, conceded 9)

7 H2H (10): 1. FC Köln lead 3-2 (5D), avg 2.7 goals, BTTS 60%

8 Eintracht Frankfurt without: J. Ngankam, J. Maluze (+4 more)

9 1. FC Köln without: R. Ache, T. Dallinga (+10 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Eintracht Frankfurt with an estimated 43% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.36-1.57 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Eintracht Frankfurt, so treat this one with extra caution. Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 9, conceding 6), while 1. FC Köln have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 14, conceding 9). 1. FC Köln lead the head-to-head 3-2 (with 5 draws), averaging 2.7 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. Eintracht Frankfurt without: J. Ngankam, J. Maluze (+4 more); 1. FC Köln without: R. Ache, T. Dallinga (+10 more).