Rudes vs HNK Rijeka

Fri 16 Oct, 16:00

FT 1-2

AI Prediction

LOW 49%

HNK Rijeka

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-2

Predicted: 1-2. Exact score correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.94 - 1.03

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Rudes last 4 at home: 1W-1D-2L (scored 7, conceded 13)

6 HNK Rijeka last 5 away: 1W-2D-2L (scored 8, conceded 7)

7 H2H (10): HNK Rijeka lead 10-0 (0D), avg 3.6 goals, BTTS 60%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours HNK Rijeka with an estimated 49% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.94-1.03 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward Rudes, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours HNK Rijeka, so treat this one with extra caution. HNK Rijeka lead the head-to-head 10-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 3.6 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. Rudes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 at home (scoring 7, conceding 13), while HNK Rijeka have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 7).