Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante

Fri 16 Oct, 19:00

FT 1-1

AI Prediction

LOW 49%

Deportivo La Coruna

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-1

Predicted: 1-0. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.21 - 0.16

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Deportivo La Coruna last 5 at home: 1W-2D-2L (scored 6, conceded 7)

5 Levante last 5 away: 1W-2D-2L (scored 4, conceded 7)

6 H2H (10): even, 4D, avg 2.7 goals, BTTS 60%

7 Deportivo La Coruna without: L. Amatucci, P. Aubameyang (+6 more)

8 Levante without: K. Etta Eyong, A. Primo (+4 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Deportivo La Coruna with an estimated 49% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.21-0.16 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Deportivo La Coruna have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 6, conceding 7), while Levante have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 7). The head-to-head is even (3 win each, 4 draws in their last 10), averaging 2.7 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. Deportivo La Coruna without: L. Amatucci, P. Aubameyang (+6 more); Levante without: K. Etta Eyong, A. Primo (+4 more).