Getafe vs Sevilla

Sun 1 Nov, 13:00

AI Prediction

LOW 35%

Sevilla

Predicted Winner

0-1

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.19 - 0.72

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Getafe last 5 at home: 1W-3D-1L (scored 6, conceded 8)

6 Sevilla last 5 away: 2W-2D-1L (scored 9, conceded 8)

7 H2H (10): Sevilla lead 6-3 (1D), avg 1.9 goals, BTTS 30%

8 Getafe without: Juanmi, M. Martin (+8 more)

9 Sevilla without: Marcao, M. Sierra (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Sevilla with an estimated 35% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.19-0.72 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward Getafe, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Sevilla, so treat this one with extra caution. Sevilla lead the head-to-head 6-3 (with 1 draw), averaging 1.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 30% of meetings. Getafe have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 6, conceding 8), while Sevilla have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 8). Getafe without: Juanmi, M. Martin (+8 more); Sevilla without: Marcao, M. Sierra (+2 more).