Real Betis vs Osasuna

Sun 11 Oct, 16:30

FT 5-2

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 59%

Real Betis

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 5-2

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.22 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Real Betis last 3 at home: 3W-0D-0L (scored 3, conceded 0)

5 Osasuna last 5 away: 2W-0D-3L (scored 7, conceded 13)

6 H2H (10): Real Betis lead 6-1 (3D), avg 2.9 goals, BTTS 70%

7 Real Betis without: J. Firpo, I. Losada (+4 more)

8 Osasuna without: K. Barja, A. Bonel (+10 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Real Betis with an estimated 59% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.22-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Real Betis lead the head-to-head 6-1 (with 3 draws), averaging 2.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 70% of meetings. Real Betis have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 at home (scoring 3, conceding 0), while Osasuna have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 13). Real Betis without: J. Firpo, I. Losada (+4 more); Osasuna without: K. Barja, A. Bonel (+10 more).