Levante vs Athletic Club

Wed 21 Oct, 18:00

AI Prediction

LOW 41%

Athletic Club

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.45 - 1.30

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Levante last 3 at home: 1W-1D-1L (scored 10, conceded 9)

6 Athletic Club last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 4, conceded 5)

7 H2H (10): Athletic Club lead 7-0 (3D), avg 2.7 goals, BTTS 70%

8 Levante without: A. Primo, K. Etta Eyong (+4 more)

9 Athletic Club without: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Athletic Club with an estimated 41% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.45-1.30 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward Levante, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Athletic Club, so treat this one with extra caution. Athletic Club lead the head-to-head 7-0 (with 3 draws), averaging 2.7 goals per game with both teams scoring in 70% of meetings. Levante have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 at home (scoring 10, conceding 9), while Athletic Club have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 5). Levante without: A. Primo, K. Etta Eyong (+4 more); Athletic Club without: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta (+8 more).