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West Ham vs QPR

Fri 9 Oct, 19:00

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 57%

West Ham

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.80 - 1.03

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 West Ham last 5 at home: 3W-0D-2L (scored 16, conceded 7)

5 QPR last 5 away: 3W-2D-0L (scored 9, conceded 5)

6 H2H (5): West Ham lead 3-0 (2D), avg 2.0 goals, BTTS 60%

7 West Ham without: M. Kante, K. Lamadrid (+2 more)

8 QPR without: I. Chair, D. Cirkin (+16 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours West Ham with an estimated 57% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.80-1.03 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. West Ham lead the head-to-head 3-0 (with 2 draws), averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. West Ham have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 16, conceding 7), while QPR have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 5). West Ham without: M. Kante, K. Lamadrid (+2 more); QPR without: I. Chair, D. Cirkin (+16 more).