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HNK Gorica vs Rudes

Fri 9 Oct, 16:00

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 53%

HNK Gorica

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.31 - 0.71

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 HNK Gorica last 4 at home: 0W-3D-1L (scored 6, conceded 7)

5 Rudes last 5 away: 1W-0D-4L (scored 6, conceded 13)

6 H2H (10): HNK Gorica lead 6-2 (2D), avg 3.0 goals, BTTS 50%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours HNK Gorica with an estimated 53% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.31-0.71 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. HNK Gorica lead the head-to-head 6-2 (with 2 draws), averaging 3.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. HNK Gorica have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 6, conceding 7), while Rudes have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 13).