Middlesbrough vs Wolves

Sat 10 Oct, 14:00

FT 1-0

AI Prediction

LOW 48%

Middlesbrough

Predicted Winner

3-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-0

Predicted: 3-2. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 3.31 - 2.41

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Middlesbrough last 4 at home: 3W-1D-0L (scored 11, conceded 7)

5 Wolves last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 7, conceded 7)

6 H2H (9): Middlesbrough lead 5-4 (0D), avg 2.9 goals, BTTS 56%

7 Middlesbrough without: A. Jones, A. Jones

8 Wolves without: R. Jimenez, Y. Mosquera (+6 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Middlesbrough with an estimated 48% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (3.31-2.41 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Middlesbrough have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 11, conceding 7), while Wolves have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 7). Middlesbrough lead the head-to-head 5-4 (with 0 draws), averaging 2.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 56% of meetings. Middlesbrough without: A. Jones, A. Jones; Wolves without: R. Jimenez, Y. Mosquera (+6 more).