Blackburn vs Cardiff

Sat 10 Oct, 14:00

FT 2-1

AI Prediction

LOW 47%

Blackburn

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-1

Predicted: 2-1. Exact score correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 2.10 - 0.77

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Blackburn last 5 at home: 2W-0D-3L (scored 8, conceded 8)

6 Cardiff last 4 away: 0W-1D-3L (scored 3, conceded 7)

7 H2H (10): Blackburn lead 6-2 (2D), avg 2.8 goals, BTTS 50%

8 Blackburn without: A. Forshaw, M. Jorgensen (+14 more)

9 Cardiff without: K. Bielik, C. Chambers (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Blackburn with an estimated 47% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.10-0.77 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Cardiff, while the blended pick still favours Blackburn, so treat this one with extra caution. Blackburn lead the head-to-head 6-2 (with 2 draws), averaging 2.8 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. Blackburn have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 8, conceding 8), while Cardiff have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 3, conceding 7). Blackburn without: A. Forshaw, M. Jorgensen (+14 more); Cardiff without: K. Bielik, C. Chambers (+8 more).