Strasbourg vs Auxerre

Sun 1 Nov, 14:00

AI Prediction

LOW 45%

Strasbourg

Predicted Winner

3-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 2.86 - 1.93

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Strasbourg last 3 at home: 1W-1D-1L (scored 4, conceded 5)

6 Auxerre last 5 away: 2W-0D-3L (scored 8, conceded 13)

7 H2H (10): Strasbourg lead 6-3 (1D), avg 1.9 goals, BTTS 20%

8 Strasbourg without: J. Panichelli, S. Amo-Ameyaw (+4 more)

9 Auxerre without: A. Diousse, S. Fofana (+6 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Strasbourg with an estimated 45% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.86-1.93 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Strasbourg, so treat this one with extra caution. Strasbourg lead the head-to-head 6-3 (with 1 draw), averaging 1.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 20% of meetings. Strasbourg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 at home (scoring 4, conceding 5), while Auxerre have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 13). Strasbourg without: J. Panichelli, S. Amo-Ameyaw (+4 more); Auxerre without: A. Diousse, S. Fofana (+6 more).