Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain

Fri 30 Oct, 18:00

AI Prediction

HIGH 71%

Paris Saint Germain

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.40 - 2.02

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Le Havre last 5 at home: 1W-1D-3L (scored 8, conceded 7)

6 Paris Saint Germain last 5 away: 4W-1D-0L (scored 12, conceded 6)

7 H2H (8): Paris Saint Germain lead 7-0 (1D), avg 3.9 goals, BTTS 38%

8 Le Havre without: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi (+10 more)

9 Paris Saint Germain without: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Paris Saint Germain with an estimated 71% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.40-2.02 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Paris Saint Germain, so treat this one with extra caution. Paris Saint Germain lead the head-to-head 7-0 (with 1 draw), averaging 3.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 38% of meetings. Le Havre have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 8, conceding 7), while Paris Saint Germain have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 12, conceding 6). Le Havre without: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi (+10 more); Paris Saint Germain without: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia (+8 more).