Nice vs Strasbourg

Sun 11 Oct, 13:00

FT 2-1

AI Prediction

LOW 46%

Nice

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-1

Predicted: 2-1. Exact score correct!

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.85 - 1.08

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Nice last 4 at home: 2W-2D-0L (scored 7, conceded 2)

5 Strasbourg last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L (scored 8, conceded 11)

6 H2H (10): Nice lead 4-2 (4D), avg 2.5 goals, BTTS 60%

7 Nice without: L. Abergel, M. Bombito (+6 more)

8 Strasbourg without: I. Doukoure, M. Godo (+4 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Nice with an estimated 46% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.85-1.08 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Nice lead the head-to-head 4-2 (with 4 draws), averaging 2.5 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. Nice have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 7, conceding 2), while Strasbourg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 11). Nice without: L. Abergel, M. Bombito (+6 more); Strasbourg without: I. Doukoure, M. Godo (+4 more).