Frosinone vs Torino

Sun 1 Nov, 14:00

AI Prediction

LOW 39%

Frosinone

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.75 - 1.31

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Frosinone last 5 at home: 5W-0D-0L (scored 16, conceded 6)

6 Torino last 4 away: 2W-1D-1L (scored 7, conceded 4)

7 H2H (7): Torino lead 4-1 (2D), avg 2.9 goals, BTTS 71%

8 Frosinone without: F. Grillitsch, F. Grillitsch

9 Torino without: N. Fortini, F. Israel (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Frosinone with an estimated 39% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.75-1.31 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Frosinone, so treat this one with extra caution. Torino lead the head-to-head 4-1 (with 2 draws), averaging 2.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 71% of meetings. Frosinone have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 16, conceding 6), while Torino have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 4). Frosinone without: F. Grillitsch, F. Grillitsch; Torino without: N. Fortini, F. Israel (+8 more).