Como vs AS Roma

Sun 11 Oct, 10:30

FT 0-0

AI Prediction

LOW 38%

AS Roma

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-0

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 2.06

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Como last 5: 4W-0D-1L (scored 12, conceded 6)

6 AS Roma last 5 away: 2W-2D-1L (scored 9, conceded 6)

7 H2H (4): even, 0D, avg 2.3 goals, BTTS 50%

8 Como without: M. Kean, M. Kean

9 AS Roma without: M. Bah, B. Cristante (+6 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours AS Roma with an estimated 38% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-2.06 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Como, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours AS Roma, so treat this one with extra caution. Como have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 (scoring 12, conceding 6), while AS Roma have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 6). The head-to-head is even (2 win each, 0 draws in their last 4), averaging 2.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. Como without: M. Kean, M. Kean; AS Roma without: M. Bah, B. Cristante (+6 more).