Oxford United vs Stevenage

Sat 7 Nov, 15:00

FT 0-1

AI Prediction

LOW 48%

Oxford United

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-1

Predicted: 1-0. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 Oxford United last 5 at home: 3W-2D-0L (scored 6, conceded 2)

4 Stevenage last 4 away: 1W-1D-2L (scored 8, conceded 6)

5 H2H (9): Oxford United lead 5-1 (3D), avg 3.3 goals, BTTS 78%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Oxford United with an estimated 48% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Oxford United lead the head-to-head 5-1 (with 3 draws), averaging 3.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 78% of meetings. Oxford United have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 6, conceding 2), while Stevenage have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 6).