Newport County vs Walsall

Sat 7 Nov, 15:00

FT 3-1

AI Prediction

LOW 38%

Walsall

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 3-1

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Newport County last 5 at home: 2W-2D-1L (scored 9, conceded 6)

5 Walsall last 4 away: 1W-3D-0L (scored 6, conceded 4)

6 H2H (10): Walsall lead 4-2 (4D), avg 3.2 goals, BTTS 60%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Walsall with an estimated 38% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Newport County, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Walsall, so treat this one with extra caution. Walsall lead the head-to-head 4-2 (with 4 draws), averaging 3.2 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. Newport County have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 9, conceding 6), while Walsall have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 4).