Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town

Tue 20 Oct, 18:45

AI Prediction

LOW 41%

Cray Wanderers

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.23 - 0.74

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Cray Wanderers last 5 at home: 2W-2D-1L (scored 9, conceded 6)

6 Bedford Town last 5 away: 3W-0D-2L (scored 7, conceded 5)

7 H2H (1): even, 1D, avg 0.0 goals, BTTS 0%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Cray Wanderers with an estimated 41% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.23-0.74 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Bedford Town, while the blended pick still favours Cray Wanderers, so treat this one with extra caution. Cray Wanderers have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 9, conceding 6), while Bedford Town have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 5). All 1 of their last meetings have ended in a draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings.