Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield

Tue 20 Oct, 18:45

AI Prediction

LOW 36%

Anstey Nomads

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, poisson disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.48 - 1.48

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Anstey Nomads last 3 at home: 2W-1D-0L (scored 7, conceded 5)

6 Macclesfield last 4 away: 2W-1D-1L (scored 6, conceded 5)

7 H2H (1): even, 1D, avg 2.0 goals, BTTS 100%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Anstey Nomads with an estimated 36% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.48-1.48 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Macclesfield, the Poisson model leans toward Macclesfield, while the blended pick still favours Anstey Nomads, so treat this one with extra caution. Anstey Nomads have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 at home (scoring 7, conceding 5), while Macclesfield have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 5). All 1 of their last meetings have ended in a draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 100% of meetings.