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Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20

Sun 4 Oct, 09:00

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 47%

Brazil U20

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 3.56 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Brazil U20 last 5 at home: 5W-0D-0L (scored 12, conceded 2)

5 Mexico U20 last 4 away: 3W-0D-1L (scored 6, conceded 3)

6 H2H (1): even, 1D, avg 4.0 goals, BTTS 100%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Brazil U20 with an estimated 47% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (3.56-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Brazil U20 have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 12, conceding 2), while Mexico U20 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 3). All 1 of their last meetings have ended in a draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 100% of meetings.