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Malta vs Andorra

Sun 4 Oct, 16:00

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 53%

Malta

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Malta last 5 at home: 1W-1D-3L (scored 6, conceded 10)

5 Andorra last 5 away: 0W-2D-3L (scored 0, conceded 7)

6 H2H (5): Malta lead 3-0 (2D), avg 1.6 goals, BTTS 40%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Malta with an estimated 53% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Malta lead the head-to-head 3-0 (with 2 draws), averaging 1.6 goals per game with both teams scoring in 40% of meetings. Malta have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 6, conceding 10), while Andorra have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 0, conceding 7).