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France U19 vs Turkey U19

Thu 1 Oct, 10:45

🎯 AI Prediction

HIGH 72%

France U19

Predicted Winner

3-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Model below market fair probability by 9pp

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 France U19 last 5 at home: 3W-2D-0L (scored 6, conceded 3)

5 Turkey U19 last 3 away: 2W-0D-1L (scored 4, conceded 4)

6 H2H (2): France U19 lead 2-0 (0D), avg 4.0 goals, BTTS 50%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours France U19 with an estimated 72% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The market is more confident in France U19 than the model is — the blend sits 9 points below the market's fair price, making this a lower-conviction pick. France U19 lead the head-to-head 2-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 4.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. France U19 have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 6, conceding 3), while Turkey U19 have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 4).