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Maldives vs Lebanon

Thu 1 Oct, 14:00

🎯 AI Prediction

HIGH 78%

Lebanon

Predicted Winner

0-3

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Maldives last 5 at home: 1W-1D-3L (scored 3, conceded 8)

5 Lebanon last 5 away: 3W-1D-1L (scored 9, conceded 2)

6 H2H (1): Lebanon lead 1-0 (0D), avg 1.0 goals, BTTS 0%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Lebanon with an estimated 78% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Lebanon, so treat this one with extra caution. Maldives have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 3, conceding 8), while Lebanon have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 2). Lebanon lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 1.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings.