⚽

USA U19 vs Wales U19

Tue 29 Sept, 10:00

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 67%

USA U19

Predicted Winner

6-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 5.56 - 2.22

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 USA U19 last 4 at home: 3W-1D-0L (scored 13, conceded 5)

5 Wales U19 last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 5, conceded 7)

6 H2H (2): USA U19 lead 1-0 (1D), avg 3.0 goals, BTTS 50%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours USA U19 with an estimated 67% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (5.56-2.22 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. USA U19 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 13, conceding 5), while Wales U19 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 5, conceding 7). USA U19 lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 1 draw), averaging 3.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings.