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Jordan vs Venezuela

Tue 6 Oct, 17:00

FT 0-0

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 35%

Venezuela

Predicted Winner

0-1

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

📊

Actual result: 0-0

Predicted: 0-1 — Winner: Incorrect

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.82 - 1.23

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Jordan last 5 at home: 0W-3D-2L (scored 7, conceded 10)

6 Venezuela last 5 away: 1W-2D-2L (scored 3, conceded 4)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Venezuela with an estimated 35% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.82-1.23 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Jordan, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Venezuela, so treat this one with extra caution. Jordan have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 7, conceding 10), while Venezuela have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 3, conceding 4).