Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg

Thu 5 Nov, 17:45

FT 0-1

AI Prediction

LOW 38%

Trabzonspor

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-1

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.69 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Trabzonspor last 5 at home: 4W-0D-1L (scored 10, conceded 1)

5 SC Freiburg last 4 away: 1W-1D-2L (scored 5, conceded 8)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Trabzonspor with an estimated 38% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.69-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Trabzonspor have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 10, conceding 1), while SC Freiburg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 5, conceding 8).