Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland

Thu 5 Nov, 20:00

FT 2-0

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 66%

Monaco

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-0

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.36 - 0.51

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Monaco last 5 at home: 3W-2D-0L (scored 10, conceded 4)

5 FC Nordsjaelland last 5 away: 1W-3D-1L (scored 6, conceded 8)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Monaco with an estimated 66% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.36-0.51 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Monaco have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 10, conceding 4), while FC Nordsjaelland have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 8).