Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka

Thu 5 Nov, 17:45

FT 2-0

AI Prediction

LOW 41%

Mjallby AIF

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-0

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.69 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Mjallby AIF last 5 at home: 1W-2D-2L (scored 3, conceded 6)

5 Borac Banja Luka last 4 away: 3W-0D-1L (scored 10, conceded 6)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Mjallby AIF with an estimated 41% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.69-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Mjallby AIF have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 3, conceding 6), while Borac Banja Luka have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 10, conceding 6).