Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia

Thu 5 Nov, 20:00

FT 3-2

AI Prediction

LOW 47%

Torreense

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 3-2

Predicted: 1-0. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.32 - 1.32

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Torreense last 4 at home: 1W-1D-2L (scored 2, conceded 5)

6 Ararat-Armenia last 5 away: 4W-0D-1L (scored 13, conceded 5)

7 Torreense without: A. Baradji, A. Baradji

8 Ararat-Armenia without: P. Ayongo, P. Ayongo

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Torreense with an estimated 47% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.32-1.32 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward Ararat-Armenia, while the blended pick still favours Torreense, so treat this one with extra caution. Torreense have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 at home (scoring 2, conceding 5), while Ararat-Armenia have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 13, conceding 5). Torreense without: A. Baradji, A. Baradji; Ararat-Armenia without: P. Ayongo, P. Ayongo.