Sturm Graz vs Celje

Thu 5 Nov, 20:00

FT 2-3

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 63%

Sturm Graz

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-3

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 0.66 - 0.00

3 Sturm Graz last 5 at home: 3W-2D-0L (scored 12, conceded 4)

4 Celje last 5 away: 1W-3D-1L (scored 3, conceded 3)

5 Sturm Graz without: N. Geyrhofer, L. Grgic (+18 more)

6 Celje without: I. Calusic, J. Pisek (+10 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Sturm Graz with an estimated 63% win probability, based on market odds and a Poisson xG model (0.66-0.00 goals). Sturm Graz have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 12, conceding 4), while Celje have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 3, conceding 3). Sturm Graz without: N. Geyrhofer, L. Grgic (+18 more); Celje without: I. Calusic, J. Pisek (+10 more).