Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia

Thu 5 Nov, 17:45

FT 1-0

AI Prediction

LOW 36%

Levski Sofia

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-0

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 0.88

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Levski Sofia last 3 at home: 1W-0D-2L (scored 3, conceded 5)

6 Jagiellonia last 3 away: 2W-0D-1L (scored 9, conceded 2)

7 Levski Sofia without: P. Hristov, O. Kamdem (+8 more)

8 Jagiellonia without: D. Drachal, C. Polak (+6 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Levski Sofia with an estimated 36% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-0.88 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Levski Sofia, so treat this one with extra caution. Levski Sofia have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 at home (scoring 3, conceding 5), while Jagiellonia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 2). Levski Sofia without: P. Hristov, O. Kamdem (+8 more); Jagiellonia without: D. Drachal, C. Polak (+6 more).