Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Thu 5 Nov, 17:45

FT 1-1

AI Prediction

LOW 49%

Crystal Palace

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-1

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 5.30 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Crystal Palace last 4 at home: 2W-0D-2L (scored 7, conceded 5)

5 1899 Hoffenheim last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L (scored 4, conceded 9)

6 Crystal Palace without: C. Doucoure, Z. Gozo (+16 more)

7 1899 Hoffenheim without: B. Conte, N. De Cat (+14 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Crystal Palace with an estimated 49% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (5.30-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Crystal Palace have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 at home (scoring 7, conceding 5), while 1899 Hoffenheim have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 9). Crystal Palace without: C. Doucoure, Z. Gozo (+16 more); 1899 Hoffenheim without: B. Conte, N. De Cat (+14 more).