Celtic vs Beşiktaş

Thu 5 Nov, 20:00

FT 3-2

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 56%

Beşiktaş

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 3-2

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.50 - 2.48

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Celtic last 5 at home: 1W-1D-3L (scored 11, conceded 9)

6 Beşiktaş last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 9, conceded 10)

7 Celtic without: L. Emenalo, A. Johnston (+12 more)

8 Beşiktaş without: U. Akdag, C. Keles (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Beşiktaş with an estimated 56% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.50-2.48 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Beşiktaş, so treat this one with extra caution. Celtic have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 11, conceding 9), while Beşiktaş have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 10). Celtic without: L. Emenalo, A. Johnston (+12 more); Beşiktaş without: U. Akdag, C. Keles (+8 more).