Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise

Thu 5 Nov, 20:00

FT 1-2

AI Prediction

LOW 41%

Celta Vigo

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-2

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 3.97

3 Celta Vigo last 5 at home: 2W-2D-1L (scored 9, conceded 4)

4 Union St. Gilloise last 4 away: 4W-0D-0L (scored 10, conceded 3)

5 Celta Vigo without: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui (+12 more)

6 Union St. Gilloise without: A. Ait El Hadj, M. Biondic (+12 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Celta Vigo with an estimated 41% win probability, based on market odds and a Poisson xG model (0.00-3.97 goals). Celta Vigo have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 9, conceding 4), while Union St. Gilloise have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 10, conceding 3). Celta Vigo without: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui (+12 more); Union St. Gilloise without: A. Ait El Hadj, M. Biondic (+12 more).