Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille

Thu 5 Nov, 20:00

FT 0-1

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 65%

Bayer Leverkusen

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-1

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 3.31 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Bayer Leverkusen last 5 at home: 4W-0D-1L (scored 13, conceded 7)

5 Marseille last 5 away: 2W-0D-3L (scored 8, conceded 8)

6 H2H (1): Bayer Leverkusen lead 1-0 (0D), avg 3.0 goals, BTTS 100%

7 Bayer Leverkusen without: E. Ben Seghir, V. Boniface (+18 more)

8 Marseille without: D. Cornelius, Emerson (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Bayer Leverkusen with an estimated 65% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (3.31-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Bayer Leverkusen have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 13, conceding 7), while Marseille have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 8). Bayer Leverkusen lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 3.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 100% of meetings. Bayer Leverkusen without: E. Ben Seghir, V. Boniface (+18 more); Marseille without: D. Cornelius, Emerson (+2 more).