AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC

Thu 5 Nov, 17:45

FT 0-2

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 51%

AC Milan

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-2

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 2.38

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 AC Milan last 5 at home: 3W-0D-2L (scored 11, conceded 9)

6 Ferencvarosi TC last 5 away: 3W-2D-0L (scored 16, conceded 4)

7 AC Milan without: W. Bondo, S. Chukwueze (+12 more)

8 Ferencvarosi TC without: E. Botka, B. Nagy (+10 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours AC Milan with an estimated 51% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-2.38 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours AC Milan, so treat this one with extra caution. AC Milan have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 11, conceding 9), while Ferencvarosi TC have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 16, conceding 4). AC Milan without: W. Bondo, S. Chukwueze (+12 more); Ferencvarosi TC without: E. Botka, B. Nagy (+10 more).