FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven

Tue 20 Oct, 19:00

AI Prediction

LOW 47%

FC Porto

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 0.00

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 FC Porto last 4 at home: 3W-0D-1L (scored 7, conceded 4)

6 PSV Eindhoven last 5 away: 2W-0D-3L (scored 12, conceded 8)

7 FC Porto without: Gabriel Mec, D. Prpic (+6 more)

8 PSV Eindhoven without: A. Nagalo, A. Plea (+14 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours FC Porto with an estimated 47% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours FC Porto, so treat this one with extra caution. FC Porto have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 7, conceding 4), while PSV Eindhoven have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 12, conceding 8). FC Porto without: Gabriel Mec, D. Prpic (+6 more); PSV Eindhoven without: A. Nagalo, A. Plea (+14 more).