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Russia vs Iran

Tue 29 Sept, 16:00

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 60%

Russia

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.50 - 0.56

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Russia last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 9, conceded 3)

5 Iran last 5 away: 1W-3D-1L (scored 7, conceded 4)

6 H2H (3): Russia lead 1-0 (2D), avg 2.3 goals, BTTS 100%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Russia with an estimated 60% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.50-0.56 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Russia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 9, conceding 3), while Iran have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 4). Russia lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 2 draws), averaging 2.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 100% of meetings.