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South Korea vs Uzbekistan

Tue 6 Oct, 11:00

FT 2-0

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 61%

South Korea

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

📊

Actual result: 2-0

Predicted: 2-1 — Winner: Correct!

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.47 - 0.49

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 South Korea last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 7, conceded 5)

5 Uzbekistan last 4 away: 0W-0D-4L (scored 2, conceded 12)

6 H2H (5): South Korea lead 4-0 (1D), avg 2.8 goals, BTTS 40%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours South Korea with an estimated 61% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.47-0.49 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. South Korea lead the head-to-head 4-0 (with 1 draw), averaging 2.8 goals per game with both teams scoring in 40% of meetings. South Korea have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 7, conceding 5), while Uzbekistan have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 2, conceding 12).