SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Sat 7 Nov, 14:30

FT 2-2

AI Prediction

LOW 41%

SC Paderborn 07

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-2

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.57 - 0.85

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 SC Paderborn 07 last 5 at home: 2W-0D-3L (scored 4, conceded 5)

6 Eintracht Frankfurt last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 9, conceded 12)

7 H2H (6): SC Paderborn 07 lead 3-2 (1D), avg 3.7 goals, BTTS 67%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours SC Paderborn 07 with an estimated 41% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.57-0.85 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Eintracht Frankfurt, while the blended pick still favours SC Paderborn 07, so treat this one with extra caution. SC Paderborn 07 have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 4, conceding 5), while Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 12). SC Paderborn 07 lead the head-to-head 3-2 (with 1 draw), averaging 3.7 goals per game with both teams scoring in 67% of meetings.