Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07

Sat 31 Oct, 14:30

AI Prediction

LOW 49%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.17 - 1.24

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Borussia Mönchengladbach last 4 at home: 1W-0D-3L (scored 9, conceded 10)

5 SC Paderborn 07 last 5 away: 2W-2D-1L (scored 7, conceded 7)

6 H2H (7): Borussia Mönchengladbach lead 6-1 (0D), avg 2.7 goals, BTTS 43%

7 Borussia Mönchengladbach without: H. Bolin, K. Diks (+12 more)

8 SC Paderborn 07 without: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier (+12 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Borussia Mönchengladbach with an estimated 49% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.17-1.24 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Borussia Mönchengladbach lead the head-to-head 6-1 (with 0 draws), averaging 2.7 goals per game with both teams scoring in 43% of meetings. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 at home (scoring 9, conceding 10), while SC Paderborn 07 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 7). Borussia Mönchengladbach without: H. Bolin, K. Diks (+12 more); SC Paderborn 07 without: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier (+12 more).