SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV

Sat 24 Oct, 13:30

AI Prediction

LOW 48%

SC Paderborn 07

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.62 - 0.72

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 SC Paderborn 07 last 3 at home: 1W-0D-2L (scored 3, conceded 4)

5 Hamburger SV last 5 away: 3W-0D-2L (scored 8, conceded 10)

6 H2H (10): even, 2D, avg 3.6 goals, BTTS 80%

7 SC Paderborn 07 without: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier (+8 more)

8 Hamburger SV without: N. Remberg, M. Vuskovic (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours SC Paderborn 07 with an estimated 48% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.62-0.72 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. SC Paderborn 07 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 at home (scoring 3, conceding 4), while Hamburger SV have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 10). The head-to-head is even (4 win each, 2 draws in their last 10), averaging 3.6 goals per game with both teams scoring in 80% of meetings. SC Paderborn 07 without: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier (+8 more); Hamburger SV without: N. Remberg, M. Vuskovic (+2 more).