1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04

Sat 24 Oct, 13:30

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 51%

1. FC Köln

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.16 - 0.96

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 1. FC Köln last 5 at home: 3W-2D-0L (scored 10, conceded 7)

5 FC Schalke 04 last 5 away: 3W-0D-2L (scored 10, conceded 8)

6 H2H (10): 1. FC Köln lead 6-0 (4D), avg 2.6 goals, BTTS 60%

7 1. FC Köln without: T. Dallinga, T. Hubers (+8 more)

8 FC Schalke 04 without: K. Karaman, D. Ljubicic (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours 1. FC Köln with an estimated 51% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.16-0.96 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. 1. FC Köln lead the head-to-head 6-0 (with 4 draws), averaging 2.6 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. 1. FC Köln have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 10, conceding 7), while FC Schalke 04 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 10, conceding 8). 1. FC Köln without: T. Dallinga, T. Hubers (+8 more); FC Schalke 04 without: K. Karaman, D. Ljubicic (+8 more).