RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg

Sat 24 Oct, 13:30

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 60%

RB Leipzig

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 3.35 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 RB Leipzig last 4 at home: 4W-0D-0L (scored 15, conceded 0)

5 SV Elversberg last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 8, conceded 7)

6 H2H (2): even, 0D, avg 1.5 goals, BTTS 0%

7 RB Leipzig without: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo (+2 more)

8 SV Elversberg without: L. Seifert, T. Zimmerschied (+6 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours RB Leipzig with an estimated 60% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (3.35-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. RB Leipzig have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 15, conceding 0), while SV Elversberg have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 7). The head-to-head is even (1 win each, 0 draws in their last 2), averaging 1.5 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings. RB Leipzig without: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo (+2 more); SV Elversberg without: L. Seifert, T. Zimmerschied (+6 more).