Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Sat 24 Oct, 16:30

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 67%

Borussia Dortmund

Predicted Winner

4-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 4.19 - 0.72

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Borussia Dortmund last 4 at home: 3W-1D-0L (scored 10, conceded 4)

5 Eintracht Frankfurt last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 17, conceded 17)

6 H2H (10): Borussia Dortmund lead 6-1 (3D), avg 3.9 goals, BTTS 70%

7 Borussia Dortmund without: E. Can, K. Karetsas (+8 more)

8 Eintracht Frankfurt without: J. Ngankam, M. Pimpong (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Borussia Dortmund with an estimated 67% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (4.19-0.72 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Borussia Dortmund lead the head-to-head 6-1 (with 3 draws), averaging 3.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 70% of meetings. Borussia Dortmund have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 10, conceding 4), while Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 17, conceding 17). Borussia Dortmund without: E. Can, K. Karetsas (+8 more); Eintracht Frankfurt without: J. Ngankam, M. Pimpong (+2 more).