⚽

Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg

Sat 19 Sept, 13:30

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 41%

FC Augsburg

Predicted Winner

2-3

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.52 - 2.02

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 FC Augsburg last 5 away: 3W-0D-2L (scored 21, conceded 9)

6 H2H (10): FC Augsburg lead 5-3 (2D), avg 2.3 goals, BTTS 30%

7 Werder Bremen without: F. Agu, M. N'Diaye (+10 more)

8 FC Augsburg without: T. Breithaupt, A. Kade (+10 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours FC Augsburg with an estimated 41% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.52-2.02 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Werder Bremen, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours FC Augsburg, so treat this one with extra caution. FC Augsburg lead the head-to-head 5-3 (with 2 draws), averaging 2.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 30% of meetings. FC Augsburg have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 21, conceding 9). Werder Bremen without: F. Agu, M. N'Diaye (+10 more); FC Augsburg without: T. Breithaupt, A. Kade (+10 more).